Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.158749 0.189183 0.223394 0.264630 0.312914 0.367587 0.434114
2025-04-27 0.123368 0.165217 0.217481 0.287232 0.377530 0.490094 0.640623
2025-05-04 0.100042 0.146236 0.208629 0.298381 0.423373 0.590331 0.829111
2025-05-11 0.080310 0.126438 0.192995 0.294926 0.445717 0.658878 0.980865
2025-05-18 0.064148 0.107959 0.175015 0.283577 0.452945 0.704511 1.102963
2025-05-25 0.051433 0.092066 0.157726 0.269564 0.452661 0.737013 1.206937
2025-06-01 0.045113 0.085294 0.153411 0.274718 0.481843 0.816183 1.389331
2025-06-08 0.037613 0.075047 0.141558 0.265256 0.485242 0.853802 1.508195
2025-06-15 0.033768 0.070711 0.139163 0.271479 0.515417 0.937703 1.710923
2025-06-22 0.029981 0.065794 0.134893 0.273506 0.537999 1.010357 1.900858
2025-06-29 0.026123 0.060037 0.128132 0.269775 0.549253 1.063666 2.061147
2025-07-06 0.022898 0.055029 0.122064 0.266429 0.560527 1.117588 2.226936
2025-07-13 0.021010 0.052788 0.121652 0.275135 0.597778 1.226294 2.510903
2025-07-20 0.020471 0.053564 0.127800 0.298476 0.667561 1.404893 2.947397
2025-07-27 0.019036 0.051944 0.128444 0.310025 0.714225 1.542706 3.317360
2025-08-03 0.016746 0.047772 0.122654 0.306442 0.728114 1.615804 3.564497
2025-08-10 0.014292 0.042677 0.113871 0.294678 0.722451 1.647662 3.729600
2025-08-17 0.012055 0.037692 0.104527 0.280151 0.708553 1.660272 3.854831
2025-08-24 0.011093 0.036080 0.103398 0.285494 0.741315 1.777071 4.214972
2025-08-31 0.009576 0.032531 0.096651 0.275685 0.736648 1.810091 4.393544
2025-09-07 0.008904 0.031399 0.096211 0.282137 0.772438 1.938155 4.796890
2025-09-14 0.008137 0.029809 0.094247 0.284238 0.797520 2.043663 5.157864
2025-09-21 0.007254 0.027651 0.090312 0.280370 0.806769 2.112478 5.439205